About Me

Hey, I'm That 1 Sports Guy and I am a sports fan just like you probably are. I mainly follow the big 3: baseball, basketball and football and will be giving my opinions on some hot topics concerning those sports (or just stuff I find interesting). I am a fan of Arizona sporting teams (Dbacks, Suns and Cardinals) but I will try my best not to be too bias.

Saturday, May 11, 2013

Fantasy Football for Dummies - 5 Tips

You love football.  So much so that your friends bug you about joining their fantasy league.  Maybe you did join but seem to be at the bottom of the  totem pole every year.  Well I am here to try to help.  Now these are just tips that work for me but hopefully they will work for you too.  Keep in mind sometimes you get lucky (or unlucky) in fantasy football.  So here we go, top 5 tips to help win your fantasy football league!

1)  Start with a top running back

You might be like a lot of people in my league, from Arizona so naturally you will want to pick Larry Fitzgerald in the first round right?  Nope!  You will want to most certainly go with a elite running back first if at all possible.  You say, “but this is a passing league so a quarterback should go first right?” 

Who here likes economics?  Think of it like supply and demand: There are a high number of quarterbacks in this league who put up really good numbers. Since this is a passing league, there are a large number of receivers who put up good numbers too.  There are however, a smaller number of quality running backs.  In fact, the difference between an elite back and average back is much higher than the difference between elite and average QBs or WRs.





Position Player 2012 Fantasy Points* Ranking by Position Difference from Leader
RB Adrian Peterson 307.4 1
RB Frank Gore 202.6 10 104.8
RB Shonn Greene 167.4 15 140
QB Drew Brees 335.58 1
QB Russell Wilson 275.62 10 59.96
QB Eli Manning 232.92 15 102.66
WR Calvin Johnson 220.4 1
WR Roddy White 177.1 10 43.3
WR Reggie Wayne 163 15 57.4

*Stats from Fantasy.NFL.com

2)  Do your homework

This is probably the step most people will skip.  If you want to be good at fantasy football you MUST research.  You must see which players are expected to get higher roles in their offense.  You must check up on injuries or competition at their position.  Check rankings and read articles.  This will help immensely in your drafting strategy as well as your waiver wire pick up. 

Checking waiver wires and free agency is something you should be doing very frequently.  One persons trash could be your treasure.  Look at Victor Cruz a few years ago.  No one knew who he was, now he’s due a huge contract and is a top WR.

This also applies to knowing the scoring system of your league.  Is it PPR?  Do QBs get penalized for sacks and INTs?  What about running backs for fumbles?  Do RB/WR/TE receive different points per reception?  This will help you target certain players over others based on their unique abilities and their team situation.

3)  Who gets targeted the most

It is pretty simple.  When receivers (and other players) get a high number of targets, they have a higher chance of putting up fantasy points.  This does not always mean high targets = lots of points.  Sometimes a quarterbacks performance or the teams opponent will negatively effect fantasy output in-spite of high targets.



Player Fantasy Ranking by Points Targets
Calvin Johnson 1 205
Reggie Wayne 15 194
Brandon Marshall 2 194
Wes Welker 12 174
Andre Johnson 8 164
AJ Green 4 164

As you can see many of the top targeted receivers also had the best fantasy output.  Also many highly targeted WR did not put up elite numbers.  This ties back into doing your homework.  Is the WR the #1 target on their team?  Do they receive a lot of double coverage?  Was their fantasy output last year due to a high number of receptions/yards or a high amount of TDs?  A high amount of looks plus their situation should effect your ranking.

4)  Whatever you do, Kickers and Defenses are picked last

Please do this.  I cannot tell you how many times I’ve played in a league where kickers and defenses are picked early.  Last year in one of my drafts I picked Reggie Wayne after some people had their kickers and defenses picked.  This goes back to economics and difference.  A top kicker and defenses points will not be all that different from an average one.

5)  Take chances in late rounds

Your late rounds are to help your bench.  Guys to fill in bye weeks or incase of injury.  That should not be the mentality of your late round picks.  Late round picks are the ones you take chances on.  Is their a guy who has talent up the wazoo but has character issues?  What about a guy who is coming of a big injury but has put up numbers before?  Is there a player who is in a new system who hasn’t gotten the chance to shine before?  The late rounds is where you make a championship team.  You hope that in a late round you find a guy who everyone else missed, who will not be a bench player only to see PT during bye weeks, but a guy who outshines your original starting lineup.  Do not take late rounds lightly, they are very important.

Conclusion:

Hopefully that helps all of you out in your leagues.  Again, this is what I have found to help me win in my leagues.  It will not always work even if you do everything right.  Some guys will have “off” years.  Many times you will fight injury bugs (I cannot tell you how many potentially good teams I have had ruined due to multiple nagging injuries).  Keep your head up and do your best!  And remember, this is supposed to be fun!

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